View the bets below for UFC FN148:
Justin Willis Breakdown:
Willis is moving up the position and maintains his underrated tag. Although he seems to hold a great deal of additional weight he is one of the more athletic heavyweights. On the feet he’s fast hands and will surely have a decent edge over Curtis Blaydes, whose stand-up continues to appear stiff and predictable. Willis has not yet been tested in the takedown division but trains with superior wrestlers like DC and Cain. With a complete camp preparing for Blaydes, we expect him to at least be competitive in this area to keep the fight standing for significant time. Blaydes fought to takedown southpaw fighters in the past and the size of Willis needs to be of additional assistance. With the odds presented, the value is located with the underdog in a stylistic fight that could pose many opportunities.John Makdessi Breakdown:
Makdessi has rather good stand-up and impenetrable takedown defense. He appears to be a couple of levels above his rival Jesus Pinedo, who is relatively inexperienced and awkward about the toes. He favours flashy kicks but his lack of footwork leaves him open to be bloated and weathered. Makdessi includes a higher volume and are going to be able to always land on Pinedo. Since moving into a top brand new camp he appears rejuvenated and seemed really impressive in recent outings. The experience edge for Makdessi is enormous and the only clear way to lose this one is by getting clipped by a wild kick. The choice is Makdessi, likely via TKO.
Bet = Makdessi in 1.38 (-260) odds. Risk 4 Units to win 1.52 Units.
Frankie Saenz Breakdown:
Saenz is getting older but still owns a style to provide his opponent trouble. He relies on his wrestling and pressure to fasten rounds while his standup is serviceable. Vera is a crazy fighter who’s frequently losing struggles till he finds out a comeback win. He’s obviously dangerous but when he cant locate the finish the fight will quickly slide off. Vera is going to have the childhood and speed advantage but Saenz are the one securing rounds with quantity and takedowns from a fighter who fights off his spine. The experience edge for Saenz will be a large factor against this type of fighter. Saenz will need to avoid submissions but a route to victory for the underdog is clear.
Bet = Saenz in 2.45 (+145) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 4.35 Units.
Chris Gutierrez Breakdown:
Gutierrez seems to have his competitor outmatched in just about any aspect with this matchup. He’s got the superior striking abilities, more recognized grappling and takedown defense. Additionally the degree of resistance he has experienced far exceeds Macdonald who has largely confronted boxers with losing records. Macdonald may be undefeated but he’s fought against these fighters and had several really close fights go to decision. His one positive seems to be toughness as he recovers well from being dropped. We enjoy the favorite to do this one completed early.
Bet = Gutierrez in 1.4 (-250) chances. Risk 4 Units to win 1.6 Units.
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